🌦 Madrid

The old seasonal reading, the satellite's forecast, and the honest score between them.

2026-10-01 cloudy, 17–27°C · rain chance 13%

2026-10-02⛈ thunderstorms, 16–23°C · rain chance 78%

2026-10-03⛈ thunderstorms, 17–21°C · rain chance 63%

2026-10-04⛈ thunderstorms, 17–22°C · rain chance 55%

2026-10-05 cloudy, 17–25°C · rain chance 58%

2026-10-06💨🌧 showers, 17–23°C · rain chance 60% · windy 52 km/h

2026-10-07 showers, 15–21°C · rain chance 59%

⚠ Severe markers this week — for warnings, follow your local weather authority.

Over the last 14 scored days at Madrid — skill means beating the base rate; we show all three because that is the honest comparison.

the tradition

71%

meteorology

93%

seasonal base rate

100%