🌦 Mandalay

The old seasonal reading, the satellite's forecast, and the honest score between them.

equal night — clear and dry.

Today reads unsettled — showers possible ○. This month's seasonal base rate: rain on about 87% of days.

2026-09-30⛈💨 thunderstorms, 25–29°C · rain chance 100% · windy 47 km/h

2026-10-01💨🌧 drizzle, 25–32°C · rain chance 88% · windy 43 km/h

2026-10-02 drizzle, 26–32°C · rain chance 69%

2026-10-03⛈ thunderstorms, 25–32°C · rain chance 86%

2026-10-04⛈ thunderstorms, 25–31°C · rain chance 70%

2026-10-05⛈ thunderstorms, 25–30°C · rain chance 81%

2026-10-06⛈ thunderstorms, 24–28°C · rain chance 94%

⚠ Severe markers this week — for warnings, follow your local weather authority.

Over the last 9 scored days at Mandalay — skill means beating the base rate; we show all three because that is the honest comparison.

the tradition

33%

meteorology

89%

seasonal base rate

88%