🌦 Taipei

The old seasonal reading, the satellite's forecast, and the honest score between them.

equal night — clear and dry.

Today reads fair — changeable ○. This month's seasonal base rate: rain on about 49% of days.

2026-10-02⛈ thunderstorms, 24–30°C · rain chance 95%

2026-10-03🌧 drizzle, 24–29°C · rain chance 82%

2026-10-04 showers, 24–30°C · rain chance 67%

2026-10-05💨🌧 drizzle, 23–29°C · rain chance 74% · windy 41 km/h

2026-10-06 drizzle, 22–25°C · rain chance 48%

2026-10-07 cloudy, 20–26°C · rain chance 5%

2026-10-08💨 clear, 20–26°C · rain chance 20% · windy 44 km/h

⚠ Severe markers this week — for warnings, follow your local weather authority.

Over the last 10 scored days at Taipei — skill means beating the base rate; we show all three because that is the honest comparison.

the tradition

50%

meteorology

80%

seasonal base rate

44%