🌦 Tokyo

The old seasonal reading, the satellite's forecast, and the honest score between them.

equal night — clear and dry.

Today reads unsettled — showers possible — changeable ○. This month's seasonal base rate: rain on about 33% of days.

2026-10-02🌧 drizzle, 19–22°C · rain chance 96%

2026-10-03 mostly clear, 17–24°C · rain chance 20%

2026-10-04 cloudy, 16–22°C · rain chance 16%

2026-10-05 drizzle, 16–20°C · rain chance 29%

2026-10-06 drizzle, 18–25°C · rain chance 44%

2026-10-07💨 cloudy, 18–25°C · rain chance 41% · windy 44 km/h

2026-10-08 cloudy, 17–23°C · rain chance 41%

Over the last 12 scored days at Tokyo — skill means beating the base rate; we show all three because that is the honest comparison.

the tradition

25%

meteorology

83%

seasonal base rate

42%