🌦 Ulan Bator

The old seasonal reading, the satellite's forecast, and the honest score between them.

equal night — clear and dry.

Today reads fair — changeable ○. This month's seasonal base rate: rain on about 10% of days.

2026-10-02💨❄ snow showers, 0–10°C · rain chance 31% · windy 50 km/h

2026-10-03❄ snow showers, -2–7°C · rain chance 30%

2026-10-04 clear, -2–9°C · rain chance 0%

2026-10-05 cloudy, 1–12°C · rain chance 0%

2026-10-06 cloudy, 1–15°C · rain chance 4%

2026-10-07 drizzle, 5–13°C · rain chance 21%

2026-10-08💨❄ snow showers, -2–6°C · rain chance 24% · windy 49 km/h

Over the last 5 scored days at Ulan Bator — skill means beating the base rate; we show all three because that is the honest comparison.

the tradition

80%

meteorology

40%

seasonal base rate

60%